Random Chance has No Chance

Introduction

One of the strongest direct evidences for special creation is the existence of innumerable highly complex systems in the universe, ratios delicately balanced on earth to enable life, systems composed of “order” rather than disorder.  Creationists maintain that highly ordered systems could not arise by chance, since random processes generate disorder rather than order, simplicity rather than complexity and confusion instead of “information.”

When covering the issue of random chance, we have to start with a canvas for the evolutionary tale to begin.  What I mean is we give the evolutionist a lot!  We give them the universe, our solar system, our planet with all its delicately balanced ratios to sustain life.  We toss in the moon and essentially everything the earth has except life itself.  That is a pretty big give away to start our random chance analysis but it is our free gift.

The evolutionary story

The Academy of Evolutionary Metaphysics states, “Life began when one of these complex organic molecules began reacting with the other molecules around it in an unusual way. It was able to attract all of the pieces that it needed to assemble an identical copy of itself. The copy then split away from the original and began to assemble its own new copy.”

Mathematical Odds or Likelihood

When rolling a single die one can easily see that the chances of rolling any one number is one in six.  When you add a second die the chances go up a lot.  When using two dice you must multiply the chances.  So 6 to 1 and 6 to 1 is 6 X 6 = 36 for two dice.  Let’s expand this to a set of flash cards numbered 1 through 10.  What we are doing now is shuffling these cards and wanting them to randomly come out in order 1 through 10.   This is known as a ten factorial or written 10!.  This is extremely unlikely in fact it is 1 in 3,328,800 that you will get the sequence in order.

If we expand this concept to flash cards 1 through 100 or 100! we reach a number well beyond possibility at 10158.  That is ten followed by one hundred and fifty-eight zeros.  Anything beyond 1050 is considered absurd and an essential mathematical impossibility.  Astro-physicists estimate that there are no more than 1080 particles in the entire universe.  Therefore, 100 flash cards coming out randomly in order would never happen by chance.

To illustrate 10158 in dice we moved from a base 10 to a base 6.  We wanted to do this so we could use something tangible to visualize the math.  In constructing this we found that 10158 is about equal to 6204.  Here we are attempting in one roll to get all 204 dice to fall on the same predetermined number—say a 3.  If you think Yahtzee is hard- that is only 5 dice and you get 3 rolls and the number is not always predetermined before the roll.

Odds of Life forming by random chance

Well before we even got out of the gate we got shot down as a 100 ordered system is not even close to what we need.  Remember we did through in the entire universe for free but let’s calculate the odds for life emerging from random chance.

Although it is an exercise in futility lets complete our quest for a random shot at life forming purely by chance.  Looking at DNA with 3.2 Billion base pairs is way out range—we need to shoot for something simpler.  Let’s go for the basic structure of Hemoglobin.  Hemoglobin consists of 574 elements with 20 different amino acids as the alphabet, not including DNA, cellular structures, water resistant membranes, etc.  This is an ordered set of 574 components using 20 amino “letters”.  These odds have been estimated as 1 in 10650.

To attempt to comprehend how impossibly small this event would be, consider a 15-billion-year old cosmos (as many scientists claim we have today) would only have had 1018 seconds in the entire history.

Conclusion

Delicate balances and complex systems are fingerprints of their designer.  To calculate the likelihood of the universe existing with life in it as we know it today by chance is incalculable.  This is simply a babbling of a lunatic.  God created the universe and all of creation as testament to Him.  The bible says in Romans 1:20 “For from the creation of the world the invisible things of Him are clearly seen, being understood through the things that are made, even His eternal power and Godhead, so that they are without excuse”.

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